I know, right? The skill ratings were designed to detect "who has a chance against who", but 69-0! C'mon, guys, surely the top of silver can eke out some wins against the bottom of gold. (And top of silver is . . . you, RiTides. Get on that, would you?
)
<-- bottom of silver, can't help sorry.
Actually, silver's really competitive. I like it. Gold has a low end and a high end and a you-two-really-should-be-in-another-class end, but bottom silver seems to have pretty reasonable odds against top silver. That's pretty cool, though the skill classes are designed to be a bit wider than that. There's room in silver for pilots a fair bit worse than me (without dropping all the way to bronze), but we just don't have any. My theory is that I'm as bad as someone who has taken 1v1 seriously for a long time can possibly be.
Also of note -- Bronze currently has no wins against . . . anybody, really. Kinda makes me sad that they don't play each other -- there are medals, and a tournament, and season-end prizes and everything. And beyond wins against each other, I bet the top bronze pilots (spud, Blarget) could take down the bottom silver pilot (me) in the right place, on the right day. In fact, I played spud in a Rangers game yesterday, and it was a nailbiter!!
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Back on topic, about Cases vs. IDL style ranks, I feel pretty strongly it should be IDL style. I like the dynamism of the system. I like that people rise to the appropriate spot on the ladder very quickly. I mean, the rating algorithm doesn't know about ranks, and look how well sorted the ladder is! I like that it's well-understood, and I like that the higher-ranked pilot has something to lose every match.
Beyond that, I know I'm always saying we shouldn't do things just because IDL did them, and I do stand by that. But when it comes to very basic things like how matches are run and how ranks work . . . I think we should what IDL did, simply because it defined the community for so long. We should break away from that some, learn from the experience we had on that ladder, do things appropriate to the current times. But if we break away from it too much, it won't feel like the kind of Descent ladder we grew up on, you know?
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Back off topic again, about making the internals of the rating algorithm public . . . I'd really rather not do that. It's designed for estimating which pilots have a chance against each other, and it seems to be doing that job well. But it's not very fun to watch update in real time. It moves your scores slowly, and sometimes in surprising directions, and often due to circumstances beyond your control. You can have a GREAT match against someone, and your score doesn't change. Then they go off and lose badly to someone else, and your score drops.
I could be talked into publishing the raw scores every couple months, maybe, and I'd love to publish a technical description of the algorithm itself. But making it so everyone can watch the scores update in real time? I promise you, that's not going to be as satisfying as you think it is. Just ask Lotharbot or Jeds! They've been watching the scores update from the beginning to help me catch bugs and problems, and I've heard
plenty of frustration about how their personal scores change match to match. Mine, too, really; unless you understand it as a broad estimate, the experience is disappointing and frustrating. You can't MAKE the numbers move by having a great day. You have to have a great
season. The numbers are designed to track how you perform against the crowd, how you get better or worse, averaged over all your good and bad days, over all your good and bad matches, over the course of
several months.
So yeah. It's doing a good job sorting the pilots into classes, but it isn't designed as an alternative rating system. I think if I published it, people would obsess over why they're slightly ahead of or behind someone else, and what changed it, and the answer is going to be unsatisfying: the algorithm isn't accurate down to the kill, and sometimes the math just comes out that way. Did it put you in the right skill class? Then it's doing its job.
I'd rather it stayed magic.
But I acknowledge that people are curious. Maybe I'll publish a snapshot? If you all promise not to obsess over small score differences too much?